INSA poll of 25 March 2025 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 18 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU31.0%-1.0
- AfD19.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%+7.0
- BSW5.0%-3.0
- FDP3.0%-2.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%-2.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Aug 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 11 to 18 Mar 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Aug 2024, Linke gains 7.0 points, BSW loses 3.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 7.0 points lower and Linke 6.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -7.0average 38.0
- Linke +6.0average 3.0
- AfD +3.0average 16.0
- Grüne -2.0average 14.0
- BSW +2.0average 3.0
- SPD -1.0average 15.0
- FDP ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU38
- AfD23
- SPD17
- Grüne15
- Linke11
- BSW6
- CDU + AfD61 of 110
- CDU + SPD + Grüne70 of 110
- CDU + SPD + Linke66 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + Linke64 of 110
- CDU + SPD + BSW61 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + BSW59 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.