Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 October 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 949
- Method
- Online
- CDU34.5%+1.5
- Grüne16.5%±0
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- AfD15.5%-0.5
- FDP4.9%-0.6
- Freie Wähler4.5%±0
- Linke2.5%-0.5
- Others6.1%+0.6
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 3 Oct 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 34.5%, followed by Grüne on 16.5%. 949 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Oct 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 3 Oct 2023, CDU gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 3.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +3.2average 31.3
- Linke -1.3average 3.8
- SPD -0.8average 16.3
- FDP -0.6average 5.5
- Grüne -0.5average 17.0
- Freie Wähler +0.2average 4.3
- AfD ±0average 15.5
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU46
- Grüne22
- SPD21
- AfD21
- CDU + Grüne68 of 110
- CDU + SPD67 of 110
- CDU + AfD67 of 110
- Grüne + SPD + AfD64 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.