YouGov poll of 19 May 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 17 May 2017
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU38.0%+1.0
- SPD25.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Grüne7.0%±0
- Others3.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 12 May 2017.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 15 to 17 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 12 May 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 2.9 points lower and FDP 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.9average 27.9
- FDP +2.0average 7.0
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 37.0
- AfD +0.8average 8.2
- Linke +0.5average 8.5
- Grüne -0.2average 7.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU247
- SPD163
- FDP59
- Linke58
- AfD58
- Grüne45
- CDU/CSU + SPD410 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne350 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.