Single poll

YouGov poll of 2 June 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
YouGov
Fieldwork period
29 to 31 May 2017
Respondents
2,040
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%-1.0
  • SPD23.0%-2.0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 19 May 2017.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,040 people were surveyed from 29 to 31 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by YouGov.

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 19 May 2017, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 2.4 points lower and Linke 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.4average 25.4
  • Linke +1.8average 8.2
  • AfD +0.8average 8.2
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 37.7
  • Grüne +0.6average 7.4
  • FDP +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 243 seatsSPD: 151 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 59 seatsAfD: 59 seatsGrüne: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU243
  • SPD151
  • Linke66
  • FDP59
  • AfD59
  • Grüne52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD394 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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