Single poll

YouGov poll of 23 June 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
YouGov
Fieldwork period
19 to 22 Jun 2017
Respondents
1,523
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.0%-1.0
  • SPD25.0%+2.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%-2.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 2 Jun 2017.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,523 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by YouGov.

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 2 Jun 2017, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.6average 38.6
  • Linke +1.1average 8.9
  • SPD +0.8average 24.2
  • AfD -0.8average 7.8
  • Grüne +0.6average 7.4
  • FDP +0.4average 8.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 239 seatsSPD: 166 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 60 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsAfD: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU239
  • SPD166
  • Linke66
  • FDP60
  • Grüne53
  • AfD46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD405 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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