Single poll

YouGov poll of 12 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
YouGov
Fieldwork period
8 to 11 May 2017
Respondents
2,010
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%+2.0
  • SPD25.0%-3.0
  • FDP9.0%+2.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%-1.0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 9 May 2017.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by YouGov.

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 9 May 2017, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 3.5 points lower and FDP 2.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -3.5average 28.5
  • FDP +2.5average 6.5
  • CDU/CSU +0.7average 36.3
  • Linke -0.5average 8.5
  • AfD +0.3average 8.7
  • Grüne -0.2average 7.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 245 seatsSPD: 166 seatsFDP: 60 seatsAfD: 60 seatsLinke: 53 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU245
  • SPD166
  • FDP60
  • AfD60
  • Linke53
  • Grüne46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD411 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne344 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.