Single poll

YouGov poll of 9 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
YouGov
Fieldwork period
27 Apr 2017 to 2 May 2017
Respondents
1,957
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU35.0%
  • SPD28.0%
  • Linke9.0%
  • AfD9.0%
  • FDP7.0%
  • Grüne7.0%
  • Others5.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,957 people were surveyed from 27 Apr 2017 to 2 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by YouGov.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -0.9average 28.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 35.8
  • FDP +0.7average 6.3
  • Linke +0.3average 8.7
  • Grüne -0.3average 7.3
  • AfD +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 232 seatsSPD: 186 seatsLinke: 60 seatsAfD: 60 seatsFDP: 46 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU232
  • SPD186
  • Linke60
  • AfD60
  • FDP46
  • Grüne46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD418 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne324 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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