Single poll

YouGov poll of 12 August 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
YouGov
Fieldwork period
5 to 10 Aug 2022
Respondents
1,595
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
  • Grüne21.0%+1.0
  • SPD19.0%±0
  • AfD14.0%+2.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%+1.0
  • Freie Wähler1.0%±0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 8 Jul 2022.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,595 people were surveyed from 5 to 10 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 8 Jul 2022, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has AfD 3.0 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +3.0average 11.0
  • Grüne -2.0average 23.0
  • FDP -1.6average 7.6
  • Linke +1.3average 4.7
  • SPD -0.7average 19.7
  • CDU/CSU +0.6average 26.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 183 seatsGrüne: 142 seatsSPD: 128 seatsAfD: 95 seatsFDP: 41 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU183
  • Grüne142
  • SPD128
  • AfD95
  • FDP41
  • Linke41
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD406 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP319 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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