YouGov poll of 16 September 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 13 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,635
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
- Grüne19.0%-2.0
- SPD16.0%-3.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Freie Wähler1.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 12 Aug 2022.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,635 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 12 Aug 2022, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 3.0 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -3.0average 19.0
- CDU/CSU +1.7average 27.3
- Grüne -1.7average 20.7
- Linke +1.7average 5.3
- AfD +1.2average 12.8
- FDP -1.1average 7.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- Grüne131
- SPD111
- AfD97
- Linke48
- FDP42
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP340 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.