YouGov poll of 14 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 12 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,617
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 16 Sep 2022.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,617 people were surveyed from 7 to 12 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 16 Sep 2022, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 2.8 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.8average 18.8
- CDU/CSU +1.7average 27.3
- FDP -1.2average 7.2
- AfD +0.9average 14.1
- Linke +0.9average 5.1
- Grüne -0.8average 19.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- Grüne131
- SPD111
- AfD104
- FDP42
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD346 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.