YouGov poll of 11 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 9 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,606
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%+2.0
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler1.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 14 Oct 2022.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,606 people were surveyed from 4 to 9 Nov 2022, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 14 Oct 2022, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Linke 2.3 points higher and FDP 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.3average 4.7
- FDP -2.1average 7.1
- SPD -1.8average 19.8
- AfD +1.8average 14.2
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 27.6
- Grüne +1.1average 18.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- Grüne133
- SPD119
- AfD106
- Linke46
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD418 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.