YouGov poll of 22 December 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 21 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 1,608
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%-3.0
- AfD14.0%-2.0
- FDP7.0%+2.0
- Linke5.0%-2.0
- Freie Wähler1.0%±0
- Others8.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 11 Nov 2022.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,608 people were surveyed from 16 to 21 Dec 2022, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 11 Nov 2022, Grüne loses 3.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher and Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.1average 27.9
- Grüne -1.9average 18.9
- SPD -0.7average 19.7
- AfD +0.3average 13.7
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- SPD130
- Grüne116
- AfD96
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP350 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.