YouGov poll of 13 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,561
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-3.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD16.0%+2.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler1.0%±0
- Others6.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 22 Dec 2022.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,561 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Jan 2023, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 22 Dec 2022, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has AfD 2.1 points higher and SPD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.1average 13.9
- SPD -1.7average 19.7
- Grüne -1.7average 18.7
- FDP +1.1average 6.9
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 28.0
- Linke +1.0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- SPD123
- Grüne116
- AfD110
- FDP55
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne424 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD418 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.