YouGov poll of 10 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 9 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,736
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%-2.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Freie Wähler2.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 13 Jan 2023.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,736 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 Feb 2023, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 13 Jan 2023, FDP loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has AfD 2.3 points higher and SPD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.3average 14.7
- SPD -1.9average 20.9
- Grüne -1.7average 17.7
- Linke +1.2average 4.8
- FDP -0.9average 6.9
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- SPD131
- AfD118
- Grüne111
- FDP42
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne416 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.