YouGov poll of 10 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 7 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,649
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Freie Wähler1.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 10 Feb 2023.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,649 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Mar 2023, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 10 Feb 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has AfD 2.6 points higher and Linke 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.6average 14.4
- Linke +2.2average 4.8
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 29.6
- Grüne -0.9average 16.9
- SPD -0.4average 20.4
- FDP -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- SPD134
- AfD114
- Grüne107
- Linke47
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne409 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.