YouGov poll of 6 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Mar 2023 to 4 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,522
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+2.0
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD17.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler1.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 10 Mar 2023.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,522 people were surveyed from 30 Mar 2023 to 4 Apr 2023, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 10 Mar 2023, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has AfD 2.2 points higher and Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.2average 14.8
- Grüne -1.9average 16.9
- Linke +1.7average 4.3
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 28.9
- FDP -0.9average 6.9
- SPD +0.4average 19.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- SPD134
- AfD114
- Grüne101
- FDP40
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.