YouGov poll of 12 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 9 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,700
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-4.0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 6 Apr 2023.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,700 people were surveyed from 5 to 9 May 2023, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 6 Apr 2023, SPD loses 4.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 3.0 points lower and FDP 2.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -3.0average 19.0
- FDP -2.8average 7.8
- CDU/CSU +1.6average 29.4
- Linke +1.6average 4.4
- AfD +1.3average 15.7
- Grüne +0.4average 15.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU214
- AfD118
- SPD111
- Grüne111
- Linke41
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.