YouGov poll of 9 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 7 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,628
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-3.0
- AfD20.0%+3.0
- SPD19.0%+3.0
- Grüne13.0%-3.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Freie Wähler1.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 12 May 2023.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,628 people were surveyed from 2 to 7 Jun 2023, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 12 May 2023, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, SPD gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has FDP 2.6 points lower and AfD 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -2.6average 7.6
- AfD +2.2average 17.8
- Grüne -1.5average 14.5
- Linke +1.3average 4.7
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 28.5
- SPD -0.1average 19.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- AfD138
- SPD131
- Grüne90
- Linke42
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.