YouGov poll of 7 July 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jun 2023 to 4 Jul 2023
- Respondents
- 1,694
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- AfD21.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Freie Wähler1.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 9 Jun 2023.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,694 people were surveyed from 30 Jun 2023 to 4 Jul 2023, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 9 Jun 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.5average 19.5
- Linke +1.2average 4.8
- FDP -0.9average 6.9
- SPD -0.7average 18.7
- Grüne -0.7average 14.7
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- AfD144
- SPD123
- Grüne96
- FDP41
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + AfD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne404 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.