YouGov poll of 4 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Jul 2023 to 2 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,756
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD23.0%+2.0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler1.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 7 Jul 2023.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,756 people were surveyed from 25 Jul 2023 to 2 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 7 Jul 2023, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has AfD 2.6 points higher and FDP 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.6average 20.4
- FDP -1.7average 6.7
- Linke +1.5average 4.5
- SPD -1.0average 18.0
- Grüne -0.8average 14.8
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 26.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- AfD158
- SPD116
- Grüne96
- Linke41
- FDP34
- CDU/CSU + AfD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne397 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.