YouGov poll of 8 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 6 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,833
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
- AfD23.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler1.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 4 Aug 2023.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,833 people were surveyed from 1 to 6 Sep 2023, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 4 Aug 2023, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 2.3 points higher and AfD 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.3average 26.7
- AfD +2.3average 20.7
- FDP -2.1average 7.1
- SPD -1.9average 17.9
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- Grüne -0.2average 14.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- AfD157
- SPD110
- Grüne96
- FDP34
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne405 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.