YouGov poll of 13 October 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 1,842
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- AfD21.0%-2.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Freie Wähler2.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 8 Sep 2023.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,842 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Oct 2023, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 8 Sep 2023, AfD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 2.0 points higher and Linke 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.0average 27.0
- Linke +1.5average 4.5
- FDP -1.3average 6.3
- Freie Wähler -1.3average 3.3
- SPD -0.9average 16.9
- AfD -0.6average 21.6
- Grüne +0.5average 14.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU198
- AfD144
- SPD110
- Grüne103
- Linke41
- FDP34
- CDU/CSU + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne411 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.