YouGov poll of 10 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 7 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 1,732
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%±0
- Others7.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 13 Oct 2023.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,732 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Nov 2023, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 13 Oct 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler -1.2average 3.2
- AfD +1.1average 20.9
- SPD -1.0average 16.0
- Linke +0.9average 4.1
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 29.7
- Grüne +0.6average 14.4
- FDP -0.3average 5.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- AfD152
- SPD104
- Grüne104
- FDP35
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne408 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.