YouGov poll of 8 December 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 6 Dec 2023
- Respondents
- 1,669
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- AfD23.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 10 Nov 2023.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,669 people were surveyed from 1 to 6 Dec 2023, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 10 Nov 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Dec 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.6average 15.6
- AfD +1.4average 21.6
- Freie Wähler -1.2average 3.2
- FDP +0.6average 5.4
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 30.2
- Grüne -0.1average 14.1
- Linke +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU218
- AfD167
- SPD101
- Grüne101
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + AfD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.