YouGov poll of 8 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 5 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,655
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler1.0%±0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 10 Jun 2022.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,655 people were surveyed from 1 to 5 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 10 Jun 2022, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Grüne 2.6 points lower and AfD 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.6average 22.6
- AfD +2.1average 9.9
- SPD -1.8average 20.8
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 26.8
- FDP -1.1average 8.1
- Linke +0.7average 4.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- Grüne138
- SPD132
- AfD83
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.