Single poll

YouGov poll of 10 June 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
YouGov
Fieldwork period
3 to 7 Jun 2022
Respondents
1,633
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU30.0%+2.0
  • Grüne21.0%+2.0
  • SPD18.0%-2.0
  • AfD12.0%+2.0
  • FDP7.0%-2.0
  • Linke6.0%+1.0
  • Freie Wähler1.0%±0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 12 May 2022.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,633 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 12 May 2022, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 3.6 points lower and CDU/CSU 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -3.6average 21.6
  • CDU/CSU +3.0average 27.0
  • AfD +1.9average 10.1
  • Linke +1.6average 4.4
  • FDP -1.3average 8.3
  • Grüne +0.1average 20.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 201 seatsGrüne: 141 seatsSPD: 121 seatsAfD: 80 seatsFDP: 47 seatsLinke: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU201
  • Grüne141
  • SPD121
  • AfD80
  • FDP47
  • Linke40
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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