YouGov poll of 12 May 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,659
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+2.0
- SPD20.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%-2.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler1.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 14 Apr 2022.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,659 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 14 Apr 2022, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 4.5 points lower and CDU/CSU 2.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -4.5average 24.5
- CDU/CSU +2.9average 25.1
- Linke +0.7average 4.3
- FDP -0.5average 9.5
- Grüne -0.1average 19.1
- AfD -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD138
- Grüne132
- AfD69
- FDP62
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.