Single poll

YouGov poll of 29 November 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
Fieldwork period
24 to 28 Nov 2017
Respondents
1,938
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%-4.0
  • SPD21.0%-2.0
  • AfD13.0%+3.0
  • Grüne10.0%+3.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 21 Sep 2017.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,938 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 21 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 4.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has FDP 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.8average 10.8
  • AfD +1.4average 11.6
  • Grüne -0.6average 10.6
  • Linke +0.5average 9.5
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 32.3
  • SPD ±0average 21.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 213 seatsSPD: 139 seatsAfD: 86 seatsGrüne: 66 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU213
  • SPD139
  • AfD86
  • Grüne66
  • Linke66
  • FDP60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP339 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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