YouGov poll of 18 August 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Aug 2026
- Respondents
- 1,744
- Method
- Online
- AfD28.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke12.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 14 Jul 2026.
In this poll YouGov has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,744 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Aug 2026, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 14 Jul 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.8average 21.8
- Grüne +0.9average 14.1
- Linke +0.5average 11.5
- FDP +0.4average 4.6
- AfD +0.3average 27.7
- BSW +0.2average 2.8
- SPD -0.1average 12.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD192
- CDU/CSU137
- Grüne103
- SPD82
- Linke82
- FDP34
- AfD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD377 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke377 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.