YouGov poll of 14 July 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 Jul 2026
- Respondents
- 1,827
- Method
- Online
- AfD27.0%-2.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke12.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 16 Jun 2026.
In this poll YouGov has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,827 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Jul 2026, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 16 Jun 2026, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.4average 22.4
- BSW +0.9average 3.1
- Linke +0.8average 11.2
- FDP +0.6average 4.4
- SPD -0.5average 12.5
- AfD -0.4average 27.4
- Grüne ±0average 14.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD189
- CDU/CSU140
- Grüne98
- SPD84
- Linke84
- FDP35
- AfD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD371 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke357 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.