YouGov poll of 16 June 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 1,793
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%-2.0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- SPD12.0%-1.0
- Linke12.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 12 May 2026.
In this poll YouGov has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,793 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Jun 2026, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 12 May 2026, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 3.1 points lower and AfD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.1average 23.1
- AfD +1.9average 27.1
- Linke +1.4average 10.6
- BSW +1.3average 2.7
- FDP +0.9average 4.1
- Grüne -0.5average 14.5
- SPD -0.4average 12.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD199
- CDU/CSU137
- Grüne96
- SPD82
- Linke82
- FDP34
- AfD + CDU/CSU336 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD377 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke377 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke363 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.