YouGov poll of 12 May 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 11 May 2026
- Respondents
- 1,783
- Method
- Online
- AfD28.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU22.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%-1.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 15 Apr 2026.
In this poll YouGov has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,783 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 May 2026, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 15 Apr 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower and AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 23.9
- AfD +1.6average 26.4
- Grüne -1.2average 14.2
- BSW +0.9average 3.1
- SPD +0.4average 12.6
- Linke +0.4average 10.6
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD203
- CDU/CSU159
- SPD94
- Grüne94
- Linke80
- AfD + CDU/CSU362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne391 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke377 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.