YouGov poll of 15 April 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 Apr 2026
- Respondents
- 1,763
- Method
- Online
- AfD27.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU23.0%-3.0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 17 Mar 2026.
In this poll YouGov has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,763 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Apr 2026, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 17 Mar 2026, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 2.5 points lower and AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Apr 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.5average 25.5
- AfD +2.0average 25.0
- SPD -0.9average 13.9
- BSW +0.8average 3.2
- Grüne +0.4average 13.6
- Linke -0.4average 10.4
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD196
- CDU/CSU167
- Grüne101
- SPD94
- Linke72
- AfD + CDU/CSU363 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD391 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.