YouGov poll of 17 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 16 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 1,851
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
- AfD26.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-2.0
- Grüne13.0%+2.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 11 Feb 2026.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 1,851 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Mar 2026, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 11 Feb 2026, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has AfD 2.2 points higher and Linke 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.2average 23.8
- Linke -1.5average 10.5
- SPD -0.8average 14.8
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 26.3
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
- BSW -0.2average 3.2
- Grüne +0.1average 12.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD186
- SPD100
- Grüne93
- Linke65
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.