YouGov poll of 11 February 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 9 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 1,657
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 14 Jan 2026.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,657 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Feb 2026, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 14 Jan 2026, Grüne loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 12.2
- SPD +1.1average 14.9
- BSW +0.7average 3.3
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 25.3
- Linke -0.3average 10.3
- AfD -0.1average 25.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- AfD181
- SPD116
- Grüne80
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.