YouGov poll of 14 January 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 1,673
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- AfD25.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+2.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 17 Dec 2025.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,673 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 Jan 2026, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 17 Dec 2025, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.8average 14.2
- AfD -0.7average 25.7
- BSW -0.5average 3.5
- Grüne -0.3average 12.3
- FDP +0.3average 3.7
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 25.2
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- AfD179
- SPD114
- Grüne86
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.