YouGov poll of 17 December 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 Dec 2025
- Respondents
- 1,743
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD26.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 19 Nov 2025.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 1,743 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Dec 2025, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 19 Nov 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 25.3
- AfD +0.4average 25.6
- Linke -0.4average 10.4
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
- BSW +0.3average 3.7
- SPD -0.2average 14.2
- Grüne +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD186
- SPD100
- Grüne86
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.