YouGov poll of 19 November 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Nov 2025
- Respondents
- 2,005
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD25.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 15 Oct 2025.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,005 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Nov 2025, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 15 Oct 2025, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.6average 25.4
- Grüne -0.8average 11.8
- FDP +0.7average 3.3
- AfD -0.6average 25.6
- SPD -0.6average 14.6
- BSW +0.6average 3.4
- Linke +0.5average 10.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD179
- SPD100
- Grüne79
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.