YouGov poll of 15 October 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 Oct 2025
- Respondents
- 1,880
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- AfD26.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 17 Sep 2025.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 1,880 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Oct 2025, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 17 Sep 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 25.6
- AfD +0.7average 25.3
- SPD -0.7average 14.7
- Linke -0.6average 10.6
- Grüne -0.4average 11.4
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- BSW +0.2average 3.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD186
- SPD100
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.