YouGov poll of 17 September 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 1,649
- Method
- Online
- AfD27.0%+2.0
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 20 Aug 2025.
In this poll YouGov has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 26.0%. 1,649 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Sep 2025, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 20 Aug 2025, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has AfD 2.1 points higher and Linke 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.1average 24.9
- Linke -1.6average 10.6
- BSW +1.1average 3.9
- FDP +0.7average 3.3
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 26.2
- Grüne -0.2average 11.2
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD183
- CDU/CSU176
- SPD102
- Grüne74
- Linke61
- BSW34
- AfD + CDU/CSU359 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne352 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW319 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.