Single poll
YouGov poll of 20 August 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 18 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 1,831
- Method
- Online
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,831 people were surveyed from 15 to 18 Aug 2025, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 16 Jul 2025, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.2average 3.8
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 26.3
- AfD +0.6average 24.4
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- Linke -0.3average 10.3
- SPD -0.2average 14.2
- Grüne +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- AfD169
- SPD95
- Grüne81
- Linke68
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke332 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More
More polls
← YouGov, 16 Jul 2025YouGov, 17 Sep 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.