YouGov poll of 15 September 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 14 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 1,787
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU18.0%-2.0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- SPD13.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%-2.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW4.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 18 Aug 2026.
In this poll YouGov has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 18.0%. 1,787 people were surveyed from 11 to 14 Sep 2026, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 18 Aug 2026, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 2.7 points lower and Linke 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.7average 20.7
- Linke -1.6average 11.6
- Grüne +1.3average 14.7
- AfD +1.1average 27.9
- BSW +1.0average 3.0
- FDP +0.6average 4.4
- SPD +0.4average 12.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD201
- CDU/CSU124
- Grüne111
- SPD90
- Linke69
- FDP35
- AfD + CDU/CSU325 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD402 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke381 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke360 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.