Single poll
YouGov poll of 20 October 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 1,773
- Method
- Online
In this poll YouGov has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 18.0%. 1,773 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Oct 2026, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 15 Sep 2026, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 19.9
- Linke -1.3average 11.3
- Grüne +1.0average 15.0
- FDP +0.9average 4.1
- SPD +0.7average 13.3
- BSW -0.4average 3.4
- AfD ±0average 28.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD194
- CDU/CSU124
- Grüne111
- SPD97
- Linke69
- FDP35
- AfD + CDU/CSU318 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD402 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke374 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke360 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD332 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP326 of 630
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.