YouGov poll of 30 April 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 27 Apr 2020
- Respondents
- 1,636
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU37.0%+3.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%-2.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 3 Apr 2020.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,636 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Apr 2020, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 3 Apr 2020, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.4average 7.6
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 38.3
- AfD +1.3average 9.7
- FDP -0.9average 5.9
- Grüne -0.7average 16.7
- SPD -0.2average 16.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU248
- SPD107
- Grüne107
- AfD74
- Linke60
- FDP34
- CDU/CSU + SPD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.