Single poll

YouGov poll of 28 May 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
YouGov
Fieldwork period
20 to 26 May 2020
Respondents
1,584
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU37.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 30 Apr 2020.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 1,584 people were surveyed from 20 to 26 May 2020, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 30 Apr 2020, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.3average 7.7
  • CDU/CSU -1.2average 38.2
  • AfD +1.2average 9.8
  • FDP -0.9average 5.9
  • Grüne -0.8average 16.8
  • SPD -0.4average 15.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 251 seatsGrüne: 108 seatsSPD: 102 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 61 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU251
  • Grüne108
  • SPD102
  • AfD74
  • Linke61
  • FDP34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP346 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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