Single poll

YouGov poll of 26 June 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
YouGov
Fieldwork period
18 to 22 Jun 2020
Respondents
1,636
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU37.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%+1.0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 May 2020.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,636 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 Jun 2020, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 May 2020, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.3average 7.7
  • Grüne -1.2average 18.2
  • AfD +1.2average 9.8
  • CDU/CSU -1.1average 38.1
  • FDP -0.6average 5.6
  • SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 248 seatsGrüne: 114 seatsSPD: 101 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU248
  • Grüne114
  • SPD101
  • AfD74
  • Linke60
  • FDP33
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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