YouGov poll of 6 August 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jul 2020 to 4 Aug 2020
- Respondents
- 1,623
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU36.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 26 Jun 2020.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,623 people were surveyed from 30 Jul 2020 to 4 Aug 2020, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 26 Jun 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.4average 7.6
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 37.3
- AfD +1.1average 9.9
- SPD -0.8average 14.8
- Grüne -0.4average 18.4
- FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU241
- Grüne121
- SPD94
- AfD74
- Linke60
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.