Single poll

YouGov poll of 28 August 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
YouGov
Fieldwork period
20 to 24 Aug 2020
Respondents
1,611
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%+2.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%-1.0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 6 Aug 2020.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,611 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Aug 2020, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 6 Aug 2020, SPD gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.3average 9.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 36.9
  • FDP -0.9average 5.9
  • Linke +0.4average 7.6
  • Grüne +0.1average 17.9
  • SPD -0.1average 16.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 241 seatsGrüne: 121 seatsSPD: 107 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 54 seatsFDP: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU241
  • Grüne121
  • SPD107
  • AfD74
  • Linke54
  • FDP33
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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