YouGov poll of 25 September 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 21 Sep 2020
- Respondents
- 1,623
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU35.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Aug 2020.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,623 people were surveyed from 19 to 21 Sep 2020, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Aug 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Sep 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.0average 10.0
- Linke +1.4average 7.6
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 36.3
- Grüne -1.3average 19.3
- SPD -0.9average 15.9
- FDP -0.3average 5.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU235
- Grüne121
- SPD101
- AfD80
- Linke60
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.