Single poll
YouGov poll of 30 October 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 26 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 1,656
- Method
- Online
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,656 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Oct 2020, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 25 Sep 2020, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has AfD 1.7 points higher and Linke 1.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 10.3
- Linke +1.6average 7.4
- Grüne -1.5average 19.5
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 35.9
- SPD -0.4average 15.4
- FDP +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU232
- Grüne119
- SPD99
- AfD80
- Linke60
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
More
More polls
← YouGov, 25 Sep 2020YouGov, 26 Nov 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.